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What's the state of Russia's missile arsenal?
MATT LEE and NOMAAN MERCHANT - Yesterday 9:24 p.m.
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As
Russia bombards Ukraine, military observers are left wondering how many and what types of missiles Russia still has in its arsenal. In other words, how long can the Kremlin keep up the barrage?
Russian jets fly over Red Square during a rehearsal for the Victory Day military parade in Moscow on May 7, 2021. (Associated Press)© Provided by LA Times
Some analysts believe Russia could be running down its stockpiles of long-range precision weapons as the nearly 8-month-old war drags on and sanctions hit its economy, forcing it to resort to less-accurate missiles.
It remains unclear whether Russia has enough weapons to continue the strikes against Ukraine with the same intensity that began after
the Oct. 8 attack on the Kerch Bridge in Crimea.
A look at what is known — and not known — about Russia's arsenal:
What does Russia say?
Russian officials say the military has sufficient stockpiles of long-range missiles and that factories are churning out more, rejecting Western claims its supplies are shrinking.
The Russian military hasn’t said how many missiles it has fired and how many are left, and there is no information available to independently assess the state of Moscow's arsenal.
President Vladimir Putin recently chaired a meeting to discuss plans for boosting weapons production, but he steered clear of specifics in the introductory remarks that were televised.
What has Russia relied on recently?
When
the Russian military unleashed missile attacks across Ukraine starting Monday, it used the entire range of its long-range precision weapons: the Kh-55 and Kh-101 cruise missiles fired by strategic bombers, the sea-launched Kalibr cruise missiles and the ground-launched Iskander missiles.
Related video: Missiles Rock Kyiv and Other Ukrainian Cities as Russia Escalates War
Russian forces have also repeatedly used S-300 surface-to-air defense missile systems for striking ground targets, a move seen by some observers as a sign of Russian weapons shortages.
Russia’s repurposing of air defense systems and anti-ship missiles suggests it is running low on more advanced missiles that are intended to hit ground targets, said Ian Williams, a fellow at the Washington-based Center for Strategic and International Studies.
Strikes from a Russian S-300 air defense system “don’t have the ‘oomph’ to really hit hardened military targets, and they don’t have the accuracy in a land attack role to even strike the building you want to hit,” Williams said. “This really is just firing them into the ether and seeing where they land.”
Their use, however, could be explained by an abundant stock of older subtypes of such missiles, which were superseded by more advanced air defense weapons, as well as the military’s desire to keep more expensive, advanced long-range missiles for priority targets.
Though numbers are hard to obtain, how Russia is using its weapons is telling. In a recent strike in the southern Ukrainian city of Mykolaiv, a surface-to-air missile was used to hit a target on the ground.
Douglas Barrie, senior fellow for military aerospace at the London-based International Institute for Strategic Studies, called that “a sure sign that missile stocks are running low.”
NATO signal: Russia has deployed 11 strategic bombers capable of carrying nuclear weapons in the Murmansk region Western military experts say that this is a signal to the West.
