Избори за Европски парламент 2019

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Изборни процес за парламент Европске уније је почео а завршава се у недељу.

Данас се гласа у Уједињеном краљевству Велике Британије и Северне Ирске (могао би Победоносцев да нам каже како је гласао) и Холандији, сутра Р. Ирска, Затим Чешка у петак итд...све до недеље.

Каква су ваша очекивања?

Главна битка се бије између естаблишмент партија које би да задрже постојеће стање и суверениста (левих и десних) који би да подривају садашње уређење ЕУ и које су за већу самосталност држава чланица у односу на Брисел.
 
Anketa agencije Ipsos objavljena odmah po zatvaranju birališta u Holandiji pokazuje da su Laburisti Fransa Timermansa, potpredsednika Evropske komisije, osvojili pet od 26 mesta dodeljenih Holandiji u Evropskom parlamentu, dok je liberalna partija VVD premijera Marka Rutea osvojila četiri mesta, odnosno jedno više nego na prethodnim izborima.

Dve holandske populističke stranke osvojile su ukupno četiri mesta.

Nova politička stranka Forum za Demokratiju koju predvodi harizmatični intelektualac Tijeri Bode osvojila je tri mesta na svojim prvim evropskim izborima, a antiislamska partija Sloboda je izgubila tri mesta u odnosu na prethodne izbore i osvojila samo jedno mesto.
 
https://www.danas.rs/svet/ankete-laburisti-osvojili-najvise-na-evropskim-izborima-u-holandiji/

Ankete: Laburisti osvojili najviše na evropskim izborima u Holandiji

Holandska Laburistička stranka je suprotno prognozama osvojila najviše mesta u Holandiji na danas održanim izborima za Evropski parlament, pokazuju podaci izlaznih anketa koje je objavila nacionalna televizija NOS.


evropski-izbori-holandija-678x381.jpg


23. maja 2019. 22.35 Izmenjeno: 24. maja 2019. 04.00

Anketa agencije Ipsos objavljena odmah po zatvaranju birališta u Holandiji pokazuje da su Laburisti Fransa Timermansa, potpredsednika Evropske komisije, osvojili pet od 26 mesta dodeljenih Holandiji u Evropskom parlamentu, dok je liberalna partija VVD premijera Marka Rutea osvojila četiri mesta, odnosno jedno više nego na prethodnim izborima.
Dve holandske populističke stranke osvojile su ukupno četiri mesta.
Nova politička stranka Forum za Demokratiju koju predvodi harizmatični intelektualac Tijeri Bode osvojila je tri mesta na svojim prvim evropskim izborima, a antiislamska partija Sloboda je izgubila tri mesta u odnosu na prethodne izbore i osvojila samo jedno mesto.
Izlazna anketa sprovedena je za nacionalnu televiziju NOS na 35 biračkih mesta širom zemlje.
Izbori za Evropski parlament održavaju se od danas do 26. maja, a danas su glasali gradjani Velike Britanije i Holandije.
 
https://www.danas.rs/svet/ankete-laburisti-osvojili-najvise-na-evropskim-izborima-u-holandiji/

Ankete: Laburisti osvojili najviše na evropskim izborima u Holandiji

Holandska Laburistička stranka je suprotno prognozama osvojila najviše mesta u Holandiji na danas održanim izborima za Evropski parlament, pokazuju podaci izlaznih anketa koje je objavila nacionalna televizija NOS.


evropski-izbori-holandija-678x381.jpg


23. maja 2019. 22.35 Izmenjeno: 24. maja 2019. 04.00

Anketa agencije Ipsos objavljena odmah po zatvaranju birališta u Holandiji pokazuje da su Laburisti Fransa Timermansa, potpredsednika Evropske komisije, osvojili pet od 26 mesta dodeljenih Holandiji u Evropskom parlamentu, dok je liberalna partija VVD premijera Marka Rutea osvojila četiri mesta, odnosno jedno više nego na prethodnim izborima.
Dve holandske populističke stranke osvojile su ukupno četiri mesta.
Nova politička stranka Forum za Demokratiju koju predvodi harizmatični intelektualac Tijeri Bode osvojila je tri mesta na svojim prvim evropskim izborima, a antiislamska partija Sloboda je izgubila tri mesta u odnosu na prethodne izbore i osvojila samo jedno mesto.
Izlazna anketa sprovedena je za nacionalnu televiziju NOS na 35 biračkih mesta širom zemlje.
Izbori za Evropski parlament održavaju se od danas do 26. maja, a danas su glasali gradjani Velike Britanije i Holandije.

Rezultati izbora bice objavljeni kada se u nedelju zatvori i zadnje biracko mesto u EU.
Uzorak od 35 birackih mesta ne znaci nista.
 
https://europeanwesternbalkans.rs/ker-lindsej-zapadni-balkan-da-pomno-prati-francusku-posle-izbora/

Ker-Lindzi: Zapadni Balkan da pomno prati Francusku posle izbora




23. 05. 2019

LONDON – Na koji način će rezultati predstojećih izbora za Evropski parlament uticati na budućnost Zapadnog Balkana posebno kada je reč o politici proširenja pitanje je koje najviše zanima države ovog regiona, piše profesor Džejms Ker-Lindzi sa Londonske škole za politiku i ekonomiju za Balkan Insight.
Nesumnjivo je da se izbori održavaju u trenutku kada je otvoreno mnogo pitanja i unutar same Unije.
„Prošli izbori održani su nakon svetske finansijske krize, poslednjih pet godina obeležile su nove neprijatnosti od migranstke krize, Bregzita do porasta popularnosti desničarkih partija, zbog čega su izbori sve više u centru pažnje. Trenutno je nemoguće predvideti njihoce ishode“, ističe profesor Ker-Lindzi.
Prema dosadašnjim anketama Evropska narodna partija osvaja najviše glasova, praćena Partijom evropskih socijalista i liberalnim savezom ALDE-Makron.
Zbirni rezultati istraživanja javnog mnjenja pokazuju da će desničarski Evropski savez naroda i nacija, Evropski konzervativci i reformisti uključujući i Zelene uzeti između 40 do 70 sedišta u Evropskom parlamentu. Biće i nezavisnih članova koji dolaze iz novih partija.
„Rezultati izbora neće pružiti jasnu poruku šta treba očekivati kada je reč o Zapadnom Balkanu“, piše profesor Ker-Lindzi ali dodaje da ono što je izvesno jeste da neće biti velikih previranja među vodećim partijama s obzirom na to da su one jasno izrazile svoju podršku daljem proširenju EU.
Profesor, pak, upozorava da državu koju pomno treba pratiti jeste Francuska koje je nizrazila negodovanje po pitanju politike proširenja EU.
„Ključna država koju treba pomno pratiti jeste Francuska koja je među država članicama najviše izrazila negodavanje kada je reč o proširenju, a moguće je da će i blokirati otvaranje pregovara EU sa Albanijom i Severnom Makedonijom u junu“, smatra profesor.
Sa druge strane objavljivanjem zvaničnih rezultata izbora za EP počinje se sa formiranjem novog saziva Evropske komisije. Dva kandidata koja imaju najviše šansi da zamene odlazećeg predsenika Komisije Junkera su Manfred Veber koji dolazi iz redova Evropske narodne partije i Frans Timermans koji dolazi iz Saveza socijalista i demokrata koji još nisu jasno izneli svoj stav po pitanju proširenja EU. Odluku o tome ko će naslediti Junkera svakako donose države članice.
Jednom kada se odabere komesar, sledi odabir drugih mesta u komisiji. Profesor ističe da posebno treba obratiti pažnju na naslednike Federike Mogerini i Johanesa Hana.
„Posebno treba obratiti pažnju na nasledika Federike Mogerini koji će biti novi šef EU diplomatije. U ovom trenutku ne postoji jasna ideja ko bi to mogao biti. Ovo pitanje je od posebnog značaja za region Zapadnog Balkana posebno za odnos Srbije i Kosova. Imajući u vidu da su Mogerini kao i njena prethodnica Ketrin Ešton učestvovale u razgovorima između Beograda i Prištine, pitanje je da li će naslednik šefice EU diplomatije nastaviti sa angažovanjem i na koji način“, objašnjava profesor.
Međutim uloga komesara za pregovore o proširenju ostaje ključna uloga. U odlazećem mandatu to je bio Johanes Han. Ni ovde ne postoje jasne naznake ko će ga naslediti. Ono što će svakako biti zanimljivo jeste i da se vidi da li će novi komesar doći iz država članica koje podržavaju proširenje Unije ili iz država koje su skeptiče po pitanju istog, piše Ker-Lindzi.
„Idealan kandidat bi bio onaj koji ima politički uticaj u Briselu ali isto tako i kredibilitet da šalje poruke da region nastavi sa reformama“, smatra profesor.
Izbori za Evropski parlament su značajni i važni, ali će nam oni samo dati naznake u kom pravcu bi Evropska unija mogla da se kreće.
„Tek će na jesen biti jasnije kakav će pristup EU imati prema Zapadnom Balkanu i politici proširenja u godinama koje slede“, zaključuje profesor Džejms Ker-Lindsej.
 
https://www.theguardian.com/politic...european-election-polling-booths-admin-errors

European elections: UK government may face court action after EU citizens denied vote

People reportedly turned away from European election polling booths due to admin errors

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'Our voice has been denied': German citizens in UK told they cannot vote – video

The government is facing calls to launch an urgent investigation into the treatment of EU citizens in the European elections after many people reported being denied their democratic right to vote.
Voters across the country told of their devastation at finding their names crossed off the register due to clerical errors by local councils. Experts said the situation was a “scandal we knew was coming” and that the government

may have a case to answer in court.


The affected voters said they felt they were being “silenced” as this was the only election they had a right to participate in, being ineligible to vote in the referendum or general elections.


The Labour MP David Lammy said the election system amounted to “ugly discrimination” for people who had endured “three years of being insulted, exploited and asked to apply to stay in their own homes”.

The Electoral Commission said it would be reviewing the treatment of EU citizens in the election but Moraes said they should have done more to avert the scandal.

The Guardian received more than 500 voting complaints from EU citizens on Thursday, with many more being lodged with the campaign group the3million.


The issue centred on the fact that the UK’s involvement in the elections was confirmed late because of the Brexit crisis and that EU citizens were required to fill in a form called the UC1 or EC6 to declare they would be voting in the UK and not their country of birth.


There were reports of people being told by officials that they should or could vote in their home country, something the civil rights campaigner Gina Miller said reflected a “hostile environment” creeping into the democratic process.


But many of the complaints centred on three clerical errors: councils failing to communicate with EU citizens about a second form; councils not sending out the forms to people who requested them on time; and councils failing to register the forms when they were received.


German nationals Kat Sellner and Moritz Valero said they were shocked when they turned up at their polling station in London to find their names had been “crossed out”, an experience reported by many EU citizens.


“It is unacceptable that this government and the election officers have discriminated against EU citizens,” Valero said. “I will not be silenced and EU citizens will not be silenced.”


Sellner said she had hand-delivered the forms on 2 May to Tower Hamlets council offices, but were told by the election register officer on Thursday that they had only received them on 16 May.


After an inquiry by the Guardian, the council checked the CCTV footage of 2 May and confirmed that Sellner had been telling the truth, and informed them six hours after they went to the polling station that they could vote after all.


A spokesman said: “There was a clerical error and delay between the date that registration forms were delivered to the council and the date the electoral services team received and stamped them.


“We have apologised to the couple for this and made arrangements at the polling station for them to cast their vote.”


Joanna Cherry, a Scottish National party MP who has raised the issue repeatedly, said: “This is good news, but it is also a grave and serious error that people were denied their vote because of a failure in electoral administration.”


A Polish national, Kinga Burger, said: “I went to the polling station today and was turned away and informed about some mysterious form that no one was able to tell me more about. I’m really angry and disappointed I didn’t get to vote.”


Another Polish national, Piotr Klaskala, said: “What I find particularly surprising is that I could see my name and current address on the list in the polling station, which suggests that I have registered successfully, but it was crossed out.”

Two days ago the3million made a formal complaint to the Electoral Commission that EU citizens were being disenfranchised.


Cherry raised the issue in an early-day motion in parliament on Thursday with the Change UK and Labour MPs Mike Gapes and Catherine West, and has vowed to return to it after the recess.

“I have been shocked, but sadly not surprised, by the reports coming in from across the country of electors being told they cannot take part in today’s vote,” she said.


The Hungarian national Doniya Soni said she was shocked to find she couldn’t vote after enquiring at her local council, Tower Hamlets, about the process and being told she was registered to do so.


Agata Patyna said she was disgusted to be told she should vote in her own country.


Another German national complained that she had registered to vote but was not told by her electoral office in Ceredigion that she needed to fill in another form.


“Not even the hint of an apology or explanation from them,” said Cyrine Amor.


Seb Dance, a Labour MEP for London, said he was dismayed at people being denied their vote.
 
https://www.theguardian.com/politic...ctions-uk-parties-brexit-labour-conservatives

European election predictions: what the pollsters are forecasting

Tory wipeout, Brexit party win and Labour flop – what would it mean for UK politics?

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Nigel Farage’s expected victory will have the biggest impact on the crisis-ridden Tories


Nigel Farage’s Brexit party stood at 32% in an average of four polls on Tuesday, with one putting the party on a remarkable 37%. Its victory is expected, and a winning proportion into the 30s is probably the minimum.


Remember that Ukip, led by Farage, topped the 2014 European election with 27.5%. Yet a year later, the party won only one seat at Westminster in the general election. Nonetheless, any total of 35% or more sends a clear message: a large proportion of the public want Britain out of the EU and Theresa May out of Downing Street.

In the likely event of a Conservative wipeout and Brexit party triumph, expect to hear Tory calls for a leader to replace May who can tack to the right and mop up the millions of Brexit party votes. Arguably, something similar happened in 2015, when David Cameron made his fateful referendum promise.

Labour will want to finish a healthy second, but could well end up third

Labour was polling in the mid-30s in mid-April, but has been tumbling ever since, from 24% at the time of the local elections on 6 May to 21% on the current rolling average. Those figures are a disappointment for a party leadership that prides itself on campaigning well and exceeding expectations at the ballot box. Some recent YouGov polls put Labour in third place, behind the Liberal Democrats, on as low as 15% or even 13%.


Labour achieved 25.4% in 2014, a result the party is likely to struggle to match now. A score in the low 20s – or worse – will demonstrate Labour has lost significant support to unambiguously anti-Brexit parties, as well as to the Brexit party. Third place would be a psychologically significant blow.


Second referendum campaigners are already arguing the party has been punished for its long and deliberate ambiguity on Brexit. The leadership’s counter-argument will be that European elections have always been a place for protest voting.

It will be a bad night for the Conservatives, but it could be a traumatic one


The party’s predicted share of the vote has fallen from 20% in mid-April to less than 15% at the time of the local elections to 11%, reflecting deep internal splits and a non-existent campaign. On Wednesday, YouGov put the Tories on a stunningly low 7%.


That would be unprecedented for a governing party. The closest equivalent is the 2009 European elections, in which Labour scored 16% and came third. A year later, Gordon Brown was kicked out of No 10.


The result this time will inevitably be interpreted as a referendum on May’s leadership and her failure to deliver Brexit. But do not underestimate the emotional impact if the Conservatives finish behind the Lib Dems, or even fifth behind the Green party.

Less a judgment from the electorate, more a catastrophe.

Small parties do better – with one exception

The already buoyant Lib Dems will hope to come second and expect to outdo the Tories, given their “Bollocks to Brexit” campaign has taken the party to about 15% in the polls, and 19% on some projections. Remember, this is a party recovering from the coalition years – the Lib Dems scored 6.9% in 2014.


Change UK, which has fallen as low as 1% in some polls, will probably claim it is pleased if it achieves its 4% average polling figure. Whatever the result, Change UK must surely be heading towards a deal with the Lib Dems, or risking obsolescence.


The Greens polled about 8% in 2014 and 2009 and will hope for a couple of points more after a period of mounting environmental concern. Beating the Tories would be a real fillip.

Keep an eye on Scotland too, where polling has the SNP as high as 38%. That would be sharply up on the 29% it achieved in 2014, as Conservative and in particular Labour votes tumble.

Translating the results into second referendum figures will be frustratingly difficult

The simplest route here is to add up the share of the hard leave parties – Nigel Farage’s Brexit party and what is left of Ukip – and compare that with their remain counterparts: the Lib Dems, Greens, SNP, Plaid Cymru and Change UK.


On this crude measure, the results will be close, but at this stage leave is expected to be ahead. A YouGov survey for the European Council on Foreign Relations, published in the Guardian, put the figures at 37.5% for leave and 36.1% for remain.


The challenge is how to account for Labour and Conservative voters. The BBC’s election analysis suggests 75% of Labour voters and 50% of Conservatives are remainers. But such calculations are inherently unsatisfying as it proposes a subdivision not immediately obvious from the ballot paper. All this means any attempt to read the election as a proxy second referendum would be open to challenge.


• This article was amended on 23 May 2019. An earlier version said YouGov data “had only 37% of Labour voters wanting to remain and only 6% of Tories”. These figures were misinterpreted from the source data and have been removed.
 
Данас се гласа у Уједињеном краљевству Велике Британије и Северне Ирске (могао би Победоносцев да нам каже како је гласао) и Холандији, сутра Р. Ирска, Затим Чешка у петак итд...све до недеље.

Немам ја право гласа на тим изборима. Само грађани ЕУ и Комонвелта који бораве у УК.

Кад Србију приме у Комонвелт биће друга прича.
 
'IZNENAĐUJUĆI REZULTATI IZBORA U HOLANDIJI: Radiklani desničari potučeni do nogu, Wildersova stranka osvojila samo jedan mandat!

Veliko iznenađenje na izborima u Holandiji za EU parlament:uvjerljivo su pobijedil laburisti, dok su radikalni desničari, kojima se predviđao veliki upsjeh, čak i pobjeda, osvojili praktično zanemarljiv broj mandata.

maj.jpg


Laburistička stranka potpredsjednika Evropske komisije Fransa Timmermansa u četvrtak je iznenađujuće osvojila najviše glasova na evropskim izborima u Holandji, pokazuju izlazne ankete. Ishod izbora će osigurati nadmoćnu prevlast umjerenih stranaka koje su neopravdano strahovale od rasta krajnje desnice i euroskeptičnih izazivača.
Laburisti su zabilježili dvostruko bolje rezultate, nego na prošlim evropskim izborima te su nadmašili predizborne ankete koje su im, u najboljem slučaju, predviđale treće mjesto na izborima.
Ovo su nepotvrđeni rezultati prikupljeni na temelju izlaznih anketa koji su u principu veoma pouzdani.
Laburistička stranka (PvDA), koju vodi Lodewijk Asscher (u EP pripadaju socijaldemokratskoj grupaciji S&D) - osvojila je 5 mjesta.
Liberalna Narodna stranka slobode i demokratije (VVD) koju vodi premijer Mark Rutte (u EP pripadaju liberalnoj grupaciji ALDE) - sovojila je 4 mjesta.
Kršćansko demokratska stranka (CDA), koju vodi Sybrand van Haersma Buma (u EP pripadaju pučanima, EPP) osvojila je također 4 mjesta.

Forum za demokratiju (FvD), euroskeptična i protuimigrantska stranka koju vodi Thierry Baudet (u EP pripadaju konzervativnoj grupaciji ECR) osvojila je 3 mjesta.
Zeleno lijeva stranka (GL), koju vodi Jesse Klaver (u EP pripadaju grupi Greens/EFA) -osvojila je tekođer 3 mjesta.
Demokrati 66 (D66), koje vodi Sophie in 't Veld (u EP pripadaju ALDE) osvojila je 2 mandata jednako kao i Kršćanska unija i reformirana stranka (CU+SGP), koju vodi Peter van Dalen (u EP pripadaju ECR).
Slobodarska stranka (PVV), koju vodi Geert Wilders (u EP će pripadati novoj radikalno desnoj grupaciji Mattea Salvinija) osvojila je samo jedan mandat jednako kao i Socijalistička stranka (SP), koju vodi Lilian Marijniseen (u EP pripadaju lijevoj grupaciji GUE/NGL).'

Screenshot_3.jpg

http://www.slobodna-bosna.ba/vijest...rsova_stranka_osvojila_samo_jedan_mandat.html

Desničari ..smrc, smrc ..
 
Ти резултати из Холандије су прелиминарни резултати са огледних бирачких места, а коначни резултати ће бити објављени у недељу.

Могуће је да је естаблишмент намерно бирао бирачка места која нису репрезентативна баш у холандији, јер се ту прво бира, како би обесхрабрио бираче десничарских партија у осталим земљама да гласају за своје фаворите, и одаберу умереније политичаре.
 

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