HITNO UPOZORENJE LIJEČNIKA 'Opasni se virus potpuno oteo kontroli, trebamo pomoć

14 098 slucajeva, 5160 mrtvih. Podaci od 12 novembra(11) 2014

izvor

http://www.who.int/csr/disease/ebola/situation-reports/en/

Ovo je stara procijena sirenja da mozete usporediti

Mar, 2014 - Infected: 104 Dead: 62
Apr, 2014 - Infected: 194 Dead: 116
May, 2014 - Infected: 360 Dead: 216
Jun, 2014 - Infected: 670 Dead: 402
Jul, 2014 - Infected: 1,247 Dead: 748
Aug, 2014 - Infected: 2,319 Dead: 1,391
Sep, 2014 - Infected: 4,313 Dead: 2,588
Oct, 2014 - Infected: 8,022 Dead: 4,813
Nov, 2014 - Infected: 14,921 Dead: 8,953
Dec, 2014 - Infected: 27,753 Dead: 16,652
Jan, 2015 - Infected: 51,621 Dead: 30,973
Feb, 2015 - Infected: 96,016 Dead: 57,610
Mar, 2015 - Infected: 178,590 Dead: 107,154
Apr, 2015 - Infected: 332,177 Dead: 199,306
May, 2015 - Infected: 617,849 Dead: 370,709
Jun, 2015 - Infected: 1,149,199 Dead: 689,519
Jul, 2015 - Infected: 2,137,510 Dead: 1,282,506
Aug, 2015 - Infected: 3,975,768 Dead: 2,385,461
Sep, 2015 - Infected: 7,394,928 Dead: 4,436,957
Oct, 2015 - Infected: 13,754,567 Dead: 8,252,740
Nov, 2015 - Infected: 25,583,494 Dead: 15,350,096
Dec, 2015 - Infected: 47,585,299 Dead: 28,551,179
Jan, 2016 - Infected: 88,508,656 Dead: 53,105,193
Feb, 2016 - Infected: 164,626,099 Dead: 98,775,660
Mar, 2016 - Infected: 306,204,545 Dead: 183,722,727
Apr, 2016 - Infected: 569,540,453 Dead: 341,724,272
May, 2016 - Infected: 1,059,345,243 Dead: 635,607,146
Jun, 2016 - Infected: 1,970,382,153 Dead: 1,182,229,292
Jul, 2016 - Infected: 3,664,910,804 Dead: 2,198,946,482

a ovdje je analiza podataka od WHO-a

https://i.imgur.com/IoE4TEr.png


Drugi index pacijent u maliju...drugi lanac infekcija. To je imam (svecenik u islamu) koji je dosao iz gvineje u mali. Zarazen.

The West African nation of Mali, which just beat its first outbreak of Ebola, has confirmed a second one that is larger and more threatening, global health authorities said on Wednesday.

http://www.nytimes.com/2014/11/13/health/mali-reports-a-second-larger-ebola-outbreak.html?_r=0


Za one koje zanima ovo je o spaljivanju mrtvih. lokalna populacija se buni zbog mirisa (smrada) i eksplozija iz krematorija. Svaku noc spaljuju mrtve i ocito dolazi do neceg sto proizvodi glasne zvukove nalik na eksploziju

Rage Against the Ebola Crematorium
A crematorium for Ebola victims in Liberia is not only raising concerns about its procedures and record keeping, but it’s rattling the very core traditions of the community.
At 9 p.m. each night, it begins. Thunderous sounds announce its arrival, piercing the silence that accompanies sundown in the swampland near Boystown, Liberia. The concrete building from which the sounds emanate shakes from the impact, rattling the colorful houses on the dirt roads nearby. Hot orange flames leap into the sky bringing with them the sickening, inescapable stench of death.

The cremation of Ebola’s newest victims has begun.

It’s a disturbing display of a practice the town has come to know well, one that has ruined its crops, polluted its waters, and scorched its trees—uprooting the core members of its community and spreading panic to neighboring villages. After failed attempts to get the government to intervene, the community will host a sit-in Tuesday to block the road on which the bodies have been arriving since September. For one night, they hope to achieve peace.

“Not a single night passes [without them] burning bodies," Albert Reeves, a community leader in Boystown, told AllAfrica. “The scary thing about it is the heavy explosives; we don’t know whether it’s the heads of the dead bodies that explode like that… it’s like a mini-earthquake; the entire ground shakes.”

vise na linku

http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2014/11/11/rage-against-the-ebola-crematorium.html

Ovak izgleda krematorij. to je onaj za stoku koju su kupili jer im je stari (za ljude) imao premali kapacitet.

1tEM8GR.jpg


https://i.imgur.com/1tEM8GR.jpg
 
Poslednja izmena:
Iskustva sa ljecenjem pacijenata zarazenih ebolom u SAD-u.

Oralnoj tekucini su dodali kalcij, magnezij i kalij (u osnovi multivitamin). Znaci samo je bitno da u njemu ima magnezija, kalija i kalcija..i naravno C vitamina koji pomaze kod virusa

vit_02.jpg


Zmapp su primjenili, nema dokaza da djeluje. Davali su transfuziju od ljudi koji su prezivjeli ebolu. Nema dokaza da transfuzija djeluje ali pomaze kod zgrusavanja krvi.


  • Both patients experienced severe fluid loss, low blood volume and electrolyte problems. One developed irregular heart rhythms ("premature ventricular contractions") as a result of low potassium. The physicians propose that advanced supportive care, including adjusting oral rehydration formulas to include potassium, calcium and magnesium, especially for patients with severe diarrhea, is valuable in the treatment of Ebola virus disease.
  • The course of experimental treatment with the monoclonal antibody cocktail ZMapp that was started in Liberia was continued at Emory for these patients. While some anecdotal evidence was positive for the results of this treatment, there was not enough information to determine whether ZMapp actually helped the two patients or whether their improvements were the result of advanced supportive care coupled with the response of their own immune systems. Controlled clinical trials are needed to assess the effectiveness of ZMapp against Ebola virus disease.
  • Although there was not enough information to determine whether blood transfusions from Ebola survivors might help patients, the authors support the idea of plasma and platelet transfusions to help stabilize blood clotting.

Vise na linku

http://news.emory.edu/stories/2014/11/ebola_nejm/campus.html
 
Mali

http://sahelien.com/viewer?id=546774c1ebda22926800000e

lista slucajeva u maliju:

  • (Confirmed) Toddler, first case, deceased
  • (Probable) Oussou Koïta, Imam, deceased [7]
  • Head of family that hosted Imam, deceased [3]
  • (Probable) Issa Keita, Visitor of Imam (may be #3 head of family), deceased [4][7]
  • (Confirmed) Salif Diarra, Imam's nurse at Pasteur, deceased [8]
  • (Confirmed) Doctor at Pasteur (same as "sonogram" operator?) [2]
  • (Confirmed) Old woman at Gabriel Touré (participated in Imam's funeral), deceased [5][6]
  • (Probable) Young girl at Gabriel Touré, deceased [1][2]
  • (Suspected) Female relative of old woman at Gabriel Touré; also participated in Imam's funeral; washed in turn at same mosque(!), deceased [9]
  • (Suspected) Telephone repairman at Gabriel Touré [3]
  • through 42. Nov 13 Malian Situation Report shows 38 suspected cases of Ebola [10]

[1] http://malijet.com/la_societe_malie...t-une-quatrieme-victime-a-bamako-au-mali.html
[2] http://www.cidrap.umn.edu/news-perspective/2014/11/liberia-ends-ebola-emergency-mali-cluster-grows
[3] https://www.maliweb.net/sante/ebola-au-mali-reparateur-telephone-suspecte-636492.html
[4] http://www.who.int/mediacentre/news/ebola/12-november-2014-mali/en/
[5] http://www.lapatilla.com/site/2014/...-ebola-en-mali-donde-la-epidemia-se-extiende/
[6] https://twitter.com/joepenney/status/533021034707169281
[7] http://maliactu.net/mali-epidemie-d...re-de-la-sante-a-prendre-ses-responsabilites/
[8] http://www.journaldumali.com/article.php?aid=9344
[9] (this article) http://sahelien.com/viewer?id=546774c1ebda22926800000e
[10] http://www.sante.gov.ml/docs/Bulletin_Ebola_N17.pdf
 
ovo je clanak o tome koji test se upotrebljava za ebolu (PCR)


The test we rely on to confirm a clinically suspected EVD case is called a reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR). RT-PCR is a technique designed to seek out a tiny but very specific region of the Ebola virus's RNA genome, copy it into DNA then amplify those DNA copies a billion-fold by making more copies. Somewhere during that exponential amplification process, the technology of the day (currently fluorescence detection but formerly agarose gel detection, radiation and chemiluminescence) allows us to identify that the specific DNA we seek is appearing above an arbitrary threshold...we have a positive test result for Ebola virus.

RT-PCR is a very sensitive technique. It was not that long ago - the 80s, not that long for some of us anyway - that clinicians and scientists were complaining that PCR methods were too sensitive. This was in large part because PCR was too successful at finding infectious agents where, and when, they had not been previously found. Change to dogma was in the wind. Fast forward to today and now we're lamenting that PCR isn't always sensitive enough. Very early on after acquiring what we later know to be a true infection, even exquisitely sensitive PCR methods can fail to detect those earliest of viruses while they are struggling to gain a foothold in our cells and replicate themselves to levels that outstrip our immune system's capacity to contain. Whether this is because the virus is hidden away in organs during its early replication or whether too few circulating viruses yet exist to surpass the necessary threshold of the RT-PCR assay's sensitivity at these early stages is unclear.

izvor infomacije

http://virologydownunder.blogspot.com.au/2014/11/ebola-testing-48-72-hours-for-negative.html

a ovo je usporedba stopa zaraze u 3 zemlje u kojima ima najvise slucajeva

ZTxKIrT.png


https://i.imgur.com/ZTxKIrT.png
 
Prvi slucaj u indiji. New delhi..indijski drzavljanin koji se vracao iz liberije. Zadrzan je na aerodromu u specijalnoj prostoriji namjenjenoj za zadrzavanje. Testovi su pokazali da je pozitivan na ebolu


NEW DELHI: In the first case of Ebola in the country, an Indian national returning from Liberia has tested positive for the deadly virus and has been quarantined at a special facility at Delhi airport.

The health ministry said the 26-year-old man, who reached here on November 10, was already treated for the deadly disease in the African country and carried no symptoms but tests of his semen samples were positive, prompting authorities to put him under isolation.

This is the first confirmed case of Ebola, though the victim contracted the virus abroad and has already been treated.

"The situation is under control and there is no need for any alarm. However, all precautions are being taken in this regard," the ministry said in a statement.

It is a known fact, the ministry said, that during convalescence from Ebola, people continue to shed virus in body fluids for variable periods.

However, presence of virus in his semen samples may have the possibility of transmitting the disease through sexual route up to 90 days from time of clinical cure, it said.


http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/Man-tests-positive-for-Ebola-in-Delhi-kept-under-isolation/articleshow/45194610.cms
 
predavanje o situaciji u zapadnoj africi i epidemiji ebole koje su napravili ljecnici bez granica. dostupno na internetu

http://www.msf.org/article/ebola-online-briefing-now-available-public

The international medical organisation Médecins Sans Frontières (MSF) or Doctors Without Borders has posted an online briefing on Ebola for aid workers involved in the battle against the haemorrhagic fever. This briefing package is now available to anyone wishing to gain a basic understanding of the virus and how it can be contained.
 
Poražavajuća statistika: Više od 17.800 zaraženih te preko 6.330 umrlih od ebole

http://www.index.hr/vijesti/clanak/porazavajuca-statistika-vise-od-17800-zarazenih-te-preko-6330-umrlih-od-ebole/788804.aspx

BROJ umrlih od ebole u trima najpogođenijim zemljama zapadne Afrike popeo se na 6331 žrtvu od ukupno 17.800 slučajeva, a Sijera Leone postala je država s najvećim brojem zaraženih, objavila je Svjetska zdravstvena organizacija u ponedjeljak na temelju podataka prikupljenih do 6. prosinca.

Prema zadnjim podacima WHO-a, u Sijeri Leone je zabilježeno 7798 slučajeva i ta je zemlja prvi put postala država s najvećim brojem zaraženih smrtonosnim virusom u odnosu na Liberiju sa 7719 slučajeva.

U prethodnom izvješću od 2. prosinca od posljedica virusa umrlo je 6070 ljudi od ukupno 17.145 zaraženih.

Najteža epidemija ovog virusa od 1976. krenula je iz Gvineje krajem prosinca 2013. Zemlje s najviše zaraženih i umrlih i dalje su Liberija, Gvineja i Sijera Leone.

U zadnjoj afričkoj zemlji pogođenoj virusom, Maliju, zabilježeno je osam slučajeva zaraze, a šest je osoba umrlo od bolesti.

U Nigeriji i Senegalu u posljednja dva mjeseca stanje je nepromijenjeno. Ondje je zabilježeno 20 slučajeva zaraze, osam smrtnih slučajeva u Nigeriji i jedan u Senegalu.
 
BROJ mrtvih od ebole u trima zapadnoafričkim zemljama, najpogođenijima tom epidemijom, popeo se na 7573, od ukupno zaražene 19.463 osobe, objavila je u srijedu Svjetska zdravstvena organizacija (WHO).

Najviše je oboljelih u Sijera Leoneu, a najviše umrlih u Liberiji. Treća je Gvineja u kojoj je epidemija prije godinu dana izbila.

Vrlo je vjerojatno da će epidemija ebole koja je prvu žrtvu odnijela prije točno godinu dana, trajati do kraja 2015., ocijenio je Peter Piot, znanstvenik koji je 1976. sudjelovao u otkrivanju virusa.

http://www.index.hr/vijesti/clanak/who-ebola-odnijela-7573-zivota/791725.aspx
 
wizardofOZ:
35 zarazenih nakon pranja "imam-a" umrlog od ebole.

Sierra Leone News: 35 infected by washing the dead

About thirty-five (35) people have been infected in Bo following the death of an Imam whom they washed and then used the water of the corpse to wash mourners.
It was also disclosed that most of them are children who are now infected.

http://awoko.org/2014/09/15/sierra-leone-news-35-infected-by-washing-the-dead/


Zadnje podatke koje imam su od 6 septembra.

4293 zarazenih / 2296 smrti

Ima li netko novije podatke ?


Proslo je 10 dana od zadnjeg izvjestaja WHO-a



Ovo je jedna od prvih procijena brzine sirenja i broja zarazenih. Kao sto mozete i sami vidjeti procijena se pokazala prilicno konzervativnom. Ima puno vise zarazenih i mrtvih. Vec na samom pocetku ovog mjeseca je bilo vec zarazenih i mrtvih kao po procijeni.

Mar, 2014 - Infected: 104 Dead: 62
Apr, 2014 - Infected: 194 Dead: 116
May, 2014 - Infected: 360 Dead: 216
Jun, 2014 - Infected: 670 Dead: 402
Jul, 2014 - Infected: 1,247 Dead: 748
Aug, 2014 - Infected: 2,319 Dead: 1,391
Sep, 2014 - Infected: 4,313 Dead: 2,588
Oct, 2014 - Infected: 8,022 Dead: 4,813
Nov, 2014 - Infected: 14,921 Dead: 8,953
Dec, 2014 - Infected: 27,753 Dead: 16,652
Jan, 2015 - Infected: 51,621 Dead: 30,973
Feb, 2015 - Infected: 96,016 Dead: 57,610
Mar, 2015 - Infected: 178,590 Dead: 107,154
Apr, 2015 - Infected: 332,177 Dead: 199,306
May, 2015 - Infected: 617,849 Dead: 370,709
Jun, 2015 - Infected: 1,149,199 Dead: 689,519
Jul, 2015 - Infected: 2,137,510 Dead: 1,282,506
Aug, 2015 - Infected: 3,975,768 Dead: 2,385,461
Sep, 2015 - Infected: 7,394,928 Dead: 4,436,957
Oct, 2015 - Infected: 13,754,567 Dead: 8,252,740
Nov, 2015 - Infected: 25,583,494 Dead: 15,350,096
Dec, 2015 - Infected: 47,585,299 Dead: 28,551,179
Jan, 2016 - Infected: 88,508,656 Dead: 53,105,193
Feb, 2016 - Infected: 164,626,099 Dead: 98,775,660
Mar, 2016 - Infected: 306,204,545 Dead: 183,722,727
Apr, 2016 - Infected: 569,540,453 Dead: 341,724,272
May, 2016 - Infected: 1,059,345,243 Dead: 635,607,146
Jun, 2016 - Infected: 1,970,382,153 Dead: 1,182,229,292
Jul, 2016 - Infected: 3,664,910,804 Dead: 2,198,946,482
Kliknite za proširenje...
Kako stojimo u odnosu na ove ranije prognoze?
 
Ejbisidi:
Kako stojimo u odnosu na ove ranije prognoze?
Kliknite za proširenje...

Problem je sto statisticki podaci iz zemalja u kojima se prosirila zaraza nisu tocni. Sto potvrduju i svjetska zdravstvena organizacija (WHO).

Za sada su brojevi o zarazenim i umrlim nesto manji nego od prognoza. Sto ne znaci da se smanjuje epidemija..jer brojevi zarazenih i umrlih su umanjeni. Vidjet cemo u sljedecih nekoliko mjeseci. za sada se siri po predvidanjima.

od kuda se pocela siriti ebola (video)

The Path of the Ebola Virus Outbreak

 
Wizarde, podaci nisu bili tacni ni na pocetku epidemije, a ove tvoje prognoze su pravljene na osnovu dostupnih podataka, dakle ovih koje nazivas netacnim. Samim tim, trebalo bi da izvestaji prate prognoze. Vidim da si jako razocaran sto ebola nece izazvati apokalipsu, ali se bar malo potrudi da to prikrijes. Da li ces doci da se izvinis za sirenje straha onog dana kad proglase kraj epidemije, a od onih tvojih kosmickih brojki ni traga?
 
Ma kakva ebola,gluposti obicne..Ubacivanje i sirenje panike kod naroda i skretanje paznje od vaznijih zivotnih stvari...Kao i pticiji grip,svinjski grip i koji su jos bili..Narod bez posla i para,ekonomija unistena vestackim putem na svetskim nivou,jedva se prezivljava a oni glumataju po medijima svake zime o pojavi nekog novog grima i epidemije samo da bi prodali narodu neko djubre od vakcina..Sve je to osmisljeno na nivou svih drzava kako osiromasiti jos vise narod i svesno ga ubiti u pojam..Kao sto je SAD napravila virus AIDS da bi potamanila crnce u Africi pa se virus otrgo kontroli,a navodno nemaju vakcinu protiv side od koje se totalno izlecuje inficirana osoba..Pa naravno da ce reci da nemaju jer farmaceutska mafija zaradjuje godisnje milijarde dolara na svetskom nivou na prodaji skupih lekova bez kojih bi inficirana osoba umrla..Ljudi ili covek su oduvek bili kolateralna steta masonima ili maloj skupini koja vlada svetom iz neke njihove pecine!!!I uvek se sve vrtelo oko novca,a ljudski zivot nije vredeo ni pisljiva boba..!!!
 
Nisam ljubitelj teorija zavere i ne mislim da je ebolu neko sad "ubacio" kao diverziju, nego su prosto novinari iskoristili priliku da naprave od muve slona, jer je ebola ocigledno donosila gledanost, posto su se ljudi uplasili. Onda se pojave razne gluposti u novinama i na vestima, a laici se polakome i kao krenu da nesto istrazuju. Medju njima nadje se i neki dovoljno dokon da svakodnevno pise iste komentare na nekoj temi i da time, namerno ili ne, plasi druge laike, onda nastanu ovakve forumske teme.
 
Dejan_P:
Ma kakva ebola,gluposti obicne..Ubacivanje i sirenje panike kod naroda i skretanje paznje od vaznijih zivotnih stvari...Kao i pticiji grip,svinjski grip i koji su jos bili..Narod bez posla i para,ekonomija unistena vestackim putem na svetskim nivou,jedva se prezivljava a oni glumataju po medijima svake zime o pojavi nekog novog grima i epidemije samo da bi prodali narodu neko djubre od vakcina..Sve je to osmisljeno na nivou svih drzava kako osiromasiti jos vise narod i svesno ga ubiti u pojam..Kao sto je SAD napravila virus AIDS da bi potamanila crnce u Africi pa se virus otrgo kontroli,a navodno nemaju vakcinu protiv side od koje se totalno izlecuje inficirana osoba..Pa naravno da ce reci da nemaju jer farmaceutska mafija zaradjuje godisnje milijarde dolara na svetskom nivou na prodaji skupih lekova bez kojih bi inficirana osoba umrla..Ljudi ili covek su oduvek bili kolateralna steta masonima ili maloj skupini koja vlada svetom iz neke njihove pecine!!!I uvek se sve vrtelo oko novca,a ljudski zivot nije vredeo ni pisljiva boba..!!!
Kliknite za proširenje...


Druze sta ti je ovo, je l si ovo Radovanu dao nalog LOL. ?

- - - - - - - - - -

mikelo90:
Wizarde, podaci nisu bili tacni ni na pocetku epidemije, a ove tvoje prognoze su pravljene na osnovu dostupnih podataka, dakle ovih koje nazivas netacnim. Samim tim, trebalo bi da izvestaji prate prognoze. Vidim da si jako razocaran sto ebola nece izazvati apokalipsu, ali se bar malo potrudi da to prikrijes. Da li ces doci da se izvinis za sirenje straha onog dana kad proglase kraj epidemije, a od onih tvojih kosmickih brojki ni traga?
Kliknite za proširenje...

Previse igrao igru - Plague INC. :zblesav:

 
wizardofOZ:
Problem je sto statisticki podaci iz zemalja u kojima se prosirila zaraza nisu tocni. Sto potvrduju i svjetska zdravstvena organizacija (WHO).

Za sada su brojevi o zarazenim i umrlim nesto manji nego od prognoza. Sto ne znaci da se smanjuje epidemija..jer brojevi zarazenih i umrlih su umanjeni. Vidjet cemo u sljedecih nekoliko mjeseci. za sada se siri po predvidanjima.

od kuda se pocela siriti ebola (video)

The Path of the Ebola Virus Outbreak

Kliknite za proširenje...
Meni je interesantno sto je stalo sirenje geografski. Kako to objasnjavas?
Mislim, imas li neku informaciju/ideju zasto se to desilo. Meni su virusi krajnje interesantni kao oblik zivota :) ili necega
 
Eto vidiš, da ne bude samo Radovan kriv za širenje teorija.

Razlika između mene i Dekija je ta što uvek mogu isturiti i argumente za svoje iznete stavove.

Kada smo kod virusa, evo možda će ovo nekome pomoći, ne samo kod Ebole (daleko joj lepa kuća) već i kod ostalih virusa uopšte.

Stari Japanski i Kineski lek protiv virusa - gljiva Coriolus versicolor (Ćuranov rep).
 
Radovan Četvrti:
Eto vidiš, da ne bude samo Radovan kriv za širenje teorija.

Razlika između mene i Dekija je ta što uvek mogu isturiti i argumente za svoje iznete stavove.

Kada smo kod virusa, evo možda će ovo nekome pomoći, ne samo kod Ebole (daleko joj lepa kuća) već i kod ostalih virusa uopšte.

Stari Japanski i Kineski lek protiv virusa - gljiva Coriolus versicolor (Ćuranov rep).
Kliknite za proširenje...

znaci ti kazes da ako ljudi koriste curanov rep da nece oboleti od ebole i drugih virusa???tebi treba dodeliti nobelovu nagradu jer si otkrio lek protiv virusa koji kosi ljudsku populaciju...ne znam samo zasto te nisu prihvatili za ozbiljno posto ides i po drugim forumima i propagiras nadrilekarstvo kao bivsi policajac..jeste da ima bliske veze medicina i policija ali opet mi nista nije jasno...
 
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