To o “ne menjanju politike” može da se čini samo nekome ko je sticajem raznih sticaja odrastao i formirao se u senci neprijateljske Nemačke i njene apsolutne dominacije nad Evropom - Amerika je uzela Srbiju na zub samo zbog
folksdojčerskog revanšizma Nemačke. Svet se međutim najfundamentalnije promenio od devedesetih, Treći Rajh je tada imao oko 5-6 veći GDP od Kine, sada dobru petinu kineskog, sa tendencijom daljeg pada, i stabilizaciju na nekih 5-7% GDP Middle Kingdom . Amerika do 2050 ide na treće mesto u poretku stvari, EU čak na četvrto, Nemačka će morati da se bori da ostane među prvih deset. Kako da zamislimo održanje sadašnjih geopolitočkih pozicija po exYU i u tim uslovima? Molim malo realizma,
@Alter_Ego_?
@S1MCRO? Bez pozivanja na AV, “rusofiliju”,
woke neotrockizam i ostalo please,
samo realizam.
The economy of the European Union is the joint economy of the member states of the European Union (EU). It is the third largest economy in the world in nominal terms, after the United Statesand China, and the third one in purchasing power parity (PPP) terms, after China and the United States.
Ekonometrijske projekcije rađene za potrebe Svetske Banke i MMF kažu da je to sitnica:
This report sets out our latest long-term global growth projections to 2050 for 32 of the largest economies in the world, accounting for around 85% of world GDP:
Key results of our analysis (as summarised also in the accompanying video) include:
- The world economy could more than double in size by 2050, far outstripping population growth, due to continued technology-driven productivity improvements
- Emerging markets (E7) could grow around twice as fast as advanced economies (G7) on average
- As a result, six of the seven largest economies in the world are projected to be emerging economies in 2050 led by China (1st), India (2nd) and Indonesia (4th)
- The US could be down to third place in the global GDP rankings while the EU27’s share of world GDP could fall below 10% by 2050
- UK could be down to 10th place by 2050, France out of the top 10 and Italy out of the top 20 as they are overtaken by faster growing emerging economies like Mexico, Turkey and Vietnam respectively
- But emerging economies need to enhance their institutions and their infrastructure significantly if they are to realise their long-term growth potential.
Explore the World in 2050
View the infographics below for highlights of our
GDP projections and explore the results further using our
interactive data tool.
Further details are provided in our
summary report,
full report and
slide pack.
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