Prestizni americki Foreign Policy objavljuje prognozu
profesora Roberta Fogela, doktora ekonomije
dobitnika nobelove nagrade za ekonomiju,
direktora Centra za populacionu ekonomiju University of Chicago Booth School of Business
$123,000,000,000,000*
Link (I strana; clanak ima 4 strane):
www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2010/01/04/123000000000000?page=0,1
In 2040, the Chinese economy will reach $123 trillion, or nearly three times the economic output of the entire globe in 2000. China's per capita income will hit $85,000, more than double the forecast for the European Union, and also much higher than that of India and Japan. In other words, the average Chinese megacity dweller will be living twice as well as the average Frenchman when China goes from a poor country in 2000 to a superrich country in 2040. Although it will not have overtaken the United States in per capita wealth, according to my forecasts, China's share of global GDP -- 40 percent -- will dwarf that of the United States (14 percent) and the European Union (5 percent) 30 years from now. This is what economic hegemony will look like.
U 2040-oj kineska ekonomija ce dostici 123 triliona dolara, ili blizu tri puta vise od ekonomskog autputa celog sveta u 2000-oj.
Kineski dohodak po glavi stanovnika ce dostici 85000 dolara, vise nego duplo u odnosu na prognozu za Evropsku Uniju, i takodje mnogo vise nego u Indiji i Japanu.
Drugim recima, prosecan stanovnik nekog kineskog velegrada ce ziveti dva puta bolje nego prosecan Francuz kada Kina napreduje od siromasne zemlje u 2000-oj do superbogate zemlje u 2040-oj.
Mada jos uvek nece preteci USA po glavi stanovnika, saglasno profesorovoj prognozi, kinesko ucesce u globalnom bruto proizvodu 40% ce bice neuporedivo vece nego krzljavih 14% US i samo 5% Evropske Unije za 30 godina od sada.
Ovo je na sta ce liciti ekonomska hegemonija.
Svakako procitajte celi clanak.
Prema prognozi cuvenog profesora i nobelovca US i EU zajedno ce imati duplo manji BDP nego Kina za samo 30 godina!
Ali jos vise pada u oci porazavajuce mali BDP cele Evropske Unije,
svega 5% ce Evropa doprineti svetskom BDP-u 2040 godine.
Drugim recima prema prognozi ovog cuvenog americkog profesora i nobelovca, Evropska Unija postaje ekonomski beznacajna u svetskim relacijama.
profesora Roberta Fogela, doktora ekonomije
dobitnika nobelove nagrade za ekonomiju,
direktora Centra za populacionu ekonomiju University of Chicago Booth School of Business
$123,000,000,000,000*
Link (I strana; clanak ima 4 strane):
www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2010/01/04/123000000000000?page=0,1
In 2040, the Chinese economy will reach $123 trillion, or nearly three times the economic output of the entire globe in 2000. China's per capita income will hit $85,000, more than double the forecast for the European Union, and also much higher than that of India and Japan. In other words, the average Chinese megacity dweller will be living twice as well as the average Frenchman when China goes from a poor country in 2000 to a superrich country in 2040. Although it will not have overtaken the United States in per capita wealth, according to my forecasts, China's share of global GDP -- 40 percent -- will dwarf that of the United States (14 percent) and the European Union (5 percent) 30 years from now. This is what economic hegemony will look like.
U 2040-oj kineska ekonomija ce dostici 123 triliona dolara, ili blizu tri puta vise od ekonomskog autputa celog sveta u 2000-oj.
Kineski dohodak po glavi stanovnika ce dostici 85000 dolara, vise nego duplo u odnosu na prognozu za Evropsku Uniju, i takodje mnogo vise nego u Indiji i Japanu.
Drugim recima, prosecan stanovnik nekog kineskog velegrada ce ziveti dva puta bolje nego prosecan Francuz kada Kina napreduje od siromasne zemlje u 2000-oj do superbogate zemlje u 2040-oj.
Mada jos uvek nece preteci USA po glavi stanovnika, saglasno profesorovoj prognozi, kinesko ucesce u globalnom bruto proizvodu 40% ce bice neuporedivo vece nego krzljavih 14% US i samo 5% Evropske Unije za 30 godina od sada.
Ovo je na sta ce liciti ekonomska hegemonija.
Svakako procitajte celi clanak.
Prema prognozi cuvenog profesora i nobelovca US i EU zajedno ce imati duplo manji BDP nego Kina za samo 30 godina!
Ali jos vise pada u oci porazavajuce mali BDP cele Evropske Unije,
svega 5% ce Evropa doprineti svetskom BDP-u 2040 godine.
Drugim recima prema prognozi ovog cuvenog americkog profesora i nobelovca, Evropska Unija postaje ekonomski beznacajna u svetskim relacijama.
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