- Poruka
- 953
Posto znam da nasilni Jack voli ove price o mortalitetu i natalitetu evo mu jedan interesantan clanak na Engleskom koji sam pokupio sa B92
Serbs in Serbia are dying out and getting older. With the lowest youth
sector – just 19.7 per cent – in the world, Serbs are the tenth most aged population globally. According to the latest census, there are less Serbs than in 1991 and, say the demographers, they will be a national minority in Serbia within 25 years.
Serbia had 7,498,001 permanent residents in 2002. Of this number 5,466 live in central Serbia and 2,031,992 in the northern province of Vojvodina. This was a fall of 1.1 per cent from the 1991 figure, despite the massive influx of refugees in the intervening period.
The trend is expected to continue and is already so well established that any steps to encourage a higher birth rate would come to late, says the Bureau for Statistic.
Vanishing youth
Births have fallen drastically over the past fifteen years. Only 19.7 per cent of the population is aged under 18. The earlier figures were well over 20 per cent.
However a change in the population definitions between the 1991 and 2002 censuses must be taken into account. Previous surveys had included Serb citizens living abroad, whereas the latest figures do not include “residents” who have been abroad for more than a year. It did however include refugees without citizenship and foreign citizens who had been resident for more than a year. It did not include displaced Kosovars.
In 1950, there were 29 births for every thousand citizens, while in 1997 this figure had fallen to 12. Between 1921 and 1925, women in central Serbia had an average of five children (4.5 in Vojvodina). This dropped to 4.3 in central Serbia and 3.1 in Vojvodina between 1931 and 1955. From 1950 to 1955 the number fell to 2.8 in central Serbia and 2.6 in Vojvodina. It is now 1.43 in central Serbia and 1.44 in Vojvodina, well below the 2.1 average needed to merely keep the population level stable.
At present, the average married couple in Serbia has 0.9 children, one third of marriages are childless and one third of the population remains unmarried.
Sudeci po ovoj demografskoj analizi Albanci bi najvecu glupost napravili kad bi trazili nezavisnost Kosova bolje bi bilo da uzmu Srbima onako sve u komadu tuto kompleto sto kaze nas narod
Ovo je zaista porazavajuca vijest za Srbe ****** za nesto manje od 25 godina predsjednik ce im biti Albanac Interesantno kako Srbi uvijek mastaju o velikoj Srbiji dok Albanci vec realizuju svoje planove o velikoj Albaniji Makedonija se isto polako drma Nla je tamo uveliko aktivna Da mi je znati sta bi rekli Ilija Garasanin i drugi utemeljitelji ideje o velikoj Srbiji bas me zanima
Evo jos jedan link koji govori o losem natalitetu Srba
http://www2.dw-world.de/serbian/Srbija/1.63225.1.html
Prema procenama demografa, Srbi su jedini narod na Balkanu cciji se broj iz godine u godinu drasticcno smanjuje, ssto dokazuje I poslednji popis stanovnisstva. Za deset godina, broj Srba u Srbiji smanjio se za milion. Sredinom prosslog veka, poredjenja radi, broj Srba i Rumuna bio je jednak.
Serbs in Serbia are dying out and getting older. With the lowest youth
sector – just 19.7 per cent – in the world, Serbs are the tenth most aged population globally. According to the latest census, there are less Serbs than in 1991 and, say the demographers, they will be a national minority in Serbia within 25 years.
Serbia had 7,498,001 permanent residents in 2002. Of this number 5,466 live in central Serbia and 2,031,992 in the northern province of Vojvodina. This was a fall of 1.1 per cent from the 1991 figure, despite the massive influx of refugees in the intervening period.
The trend is expected to continue and is already so well established that any steps to encourage a higher birth rate would come to late, says the Bureau for Statistic.
Vanishing youth
Births have fallen drastically over the past fifteen years. Only 19.7 per cent of the population is aged under 18. The earlier figures were well over 20 per cent.
However a change in the population definitions between the 1991 and 2002 censuses must be taken into account. Previous surveys had included Serb citizens living abroad, whereas the latest figures do not include “residents” who have been abroad for more than a year. It did however include refugees without citizenship and foreign citizens who had been resident for more than a year. It did not include displaced Kosovars.
In 1950, there were 29 births for every thousand citizens, while in 1997 this figure had fallen to 12. Between 1921 and 1925, women in central Serbia had an average of five children (4.5 in Vojvodina). This dropped to 4.3 in central Serbia and 3.1 in Vojvodina between 1931 and 1955. From 1950 to 1955 the number fell to 2.8 in central Serbia and 2.6 in Vojvodina. It is now 1.43 in central Serbia and 1.44 in Vojvodina, well below the 2.1 average needed to merely keep the population level stable.
At present, the average married couple in Serbia has 0.9 children, one third of marriages are childless and one third of the population remains unmarried.
Sudeci po ovoj demografskoj analizi Albanci bi najvecu glupost napravili kad bi trazili nezavisnost Kosova bolje bi bilo da uzmu Srbima onako sve u komadu tuto kompleto sto kaze nas narod
Ovo je zaista porazavajuca vijest za Srbe ****** za nesto manje od 25 godina predsjednik ce im biti Albanac Interesantno kako Srbi uvijek mastaju o velikoj Srbiji dok Albanci vec realizuju svoje planove o velikoj Albaniji Makedonija se isto polako drma Nla je tamo uveliko aktivna Da mi je znati sta bi rekli Ilija Garasanin i drugi utemeljitelji ideje o velikoj Srbiji bas me zanima
Evo jos jedan link koji govori o losem natalitetu Srba
http://www2.dw-world.de/serbian/Srbija/1.63225.1.html
Prema procenama demografa, Srbi su jedini narod na Balkanu cciji se broj iz godine u godinu drasticcno smanjuje, ssto dokazuje I poslednji popis stanovnisstva. Za deset godina, broj Srba u Srbiji smanjio se za milion. Sredinom prosslog veka, poredjenja radi, broj Srba i Rumuna bio je jednak.